Saturday, May 07, 2016

Law of Averages are a Bitch

The law of averages are starting to catch up with the Phillies. All the offense's holes are fully exposed, the bullpen is leaky, and the young rotation is promising yet inconsistent. With a record of 16-14 the Phils have outperformed expectations and what their stats actually say (Pythagorean W/L predictor has them at 11-19). So, basically they've been lucky and the luck has seemed to run out. Shit has been running down hill ever since that Adam Wainwright homerun off of Hellickson that still hasn't landed.

They currently employ only one regular in the lineup with an on base percentage above .300, and that's Odubel Herrera (.453 OBP). Only two regulars have an OPS above .700 (Franco and Herrera). Naturally with woeful stats like that they're near the bottom in AVG, R, and OPS.  Hell, they've been caught stealing (12 CS) more times than they've been successful (11 SB). Things need to change. But what and who? The corner outfield is dreadful, first base is pitiful, and Cesar Hernandez is floundering at 2nd.

Minor League Hope?
Tommy Joseph/1B - 21 G, .375/1.067, 7 DBL, 5 HR, 15 RBI. Lead International League in OPS, which leads us into wanting him promoted.

Brock Stassi, also a first baseman, isn't lighting the world on fire with his bat (.250/.745), but has made 2 scoreless relief appearances this season for the Iron Pigs. In fact, he's made 7 such appearances over his minor league career with astonishing results - 7 G, 8.1 IP, 8 K, 0.00 ERA, and 0.72 WHIP. Let him replace Burriss/Oberholtzer for the price of one. I kid...well, not really.

If Adam Morgan doesn't soon impress with the Phillies, I'd expect Alec Asher to be next in line for every 5th day in Philly. He was terrible in his call-up last season (9.31 ERA in 7 starts), but pitched decent in Spring Training and has been doing well so far in AA/AAA this year (6 GS, 1.98 ERA, 0.85 WHIP).

Edubray Ramos may soon find himself in the Phillies bullpen. He had an outside shot of breaking camp with the team in Spring Training and has continued to progress in AA/AAA so far this year (12 G, 17 IP, 2.12 ERA, 0.65 WHIP).

7 comments:

GM-Carson said...

Only 5 hits tonight for Phils offense. Make some changes Klentak.

Bob D said...

Potential moves:
Joseph promotion to play 1B, moving Ruf to either OF or off roster.
Perkins promotion to play OF, moving Bourjos off roster.
Featherstone promotion to replace Burriss, however I would not expect much improvement.
And once Goeddell has been on the roster long enough, he can come up with one of those 'freak injuries' that keeps him off roster till Sept. He has to be on active roster for 90 games I believe it is, so play in first 60 or so then be on roster for Sept/last 30 games of year.
Lough has been good enough to continue playing for the time being.

GM-Carson said...

I absolutely love Andres "Whitey" Blanco. He is baseball, true team player, high energy, fun to watch. Utility All-Star!!!

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