Monday, March 28, 2016

2016 preview: Brett Oberholtzer


As we move toward the 2016 season, let us take a look at each player on the roster and what a reasonably successful season would look like. We started with Aaron Nola. Our most recent entry was Adam Morgan.

Name: Brett Oberholtzer
Position: Pitcher
Age:Was 26 in July
Bat/Throw: Left/Left
Number: 34
Experience: 45 games (42 starts)




 What we saw in 2015

Brett Oberholtzer spent half the season in the Pacific Coast League and the other half in Houston. While in Houston, he continued to be an average Major League pitcher. In 45 big league games over three seasons, he has been hit harder each year he's been in the big leagues. Oberholtzer isn't expected to start much for the Phillies. The Phillies likely won't use him as a loogy, though. His splits against lefties - .299/.321/.448 - is noticeably worse than his numbers against righties, who have hit him for a .272/.316/.406. One thing to remember about Oberholtzer is that he pitched in a home run heaven and allowed fewer than a home run every 9 innings.

Important goals for 2016 

Limit walks: Oberholtzer spent the first two years of his career in the big leagues compiling a walks-per-9 innings rate below 2. That's pretty economical. Last season, Oberholtzer more than doubled his walk rate, hitting 4.0. He's got to go back to his previous numbers if he's going to be successful.
Keep missing bats: One thing Oberholtzer improved on last season was piling up strikeouts. In a small sample size, he whiffed 6.3 batters per 9, which was a tick above his normal marks. If he could keep that number up while getting his walk rate back to normal, the Phillies benefit.
Get ahead: In his first season, Oberholtzer threw a first pitch strike in 65 percent of at-bats. Since then, he's been around 60 percent. That small difference can lead to more success. It's pitching 101. If he gets ahead of 5 more batters out of every hundred, he's likely getting 4 of those guys out. That could drop a batting average against from .310 to 270.

Analysis

It's hard to be too high on Oberholtzer, but he's a serviceable veteran. If he can provide leadership to the young arms and pitch better than recent years, the Phillies will be a step closer to having earned some value in the Ken Giles trade.

4 comments:

GM-Carson said...

Mujica released. I'd rather him than Bailey or Frieri, but we'll just have to wait and see. One thing I'm pretty sure of, this bullpen might be historically horrible.

PatrickAbdalla said...

I'm under the assumption we're going to see this crazy bullpen at the end of the season that includes Velazquez, Appel, Windle and, maybe, Lively or Thompson.

GM-Carson said...

Windle is meant for the bullpen, possibly Appel too. I want Lively and Thompson to remain starting pitchers and see how Velasquez does this year in that role too. Hopefully Morton and Hellickson are pitching well enough to be traded come July so some of the young guys can be promoted.

S10driver37 said...

Mujica's back on a minor league deal