Wednesday, September 18, 2013

In a Season of Wrong, There is Some Right

The Philadelphia Phillies 2013 season has been bad.  Not horrible, not good, just bad.  Amaro has the challenge of piecing together a contender for next season, and some of the rookies on the team receiving regular playing time are providing a bit of hope for the future.

Cesar Hernandez - .320/.759 with 13 R in 23 G.  He can play 2B and CF, is a lifetime .294 hitter in the minors, is 23 years old, and a switch hitter.  He could be the perfect 4th outfielder if he were able to play LF and RF (which are easier positions than CF).  He has speed too (147 SB in the minors).

Darin Ruf - .259/855, 34 R, 14 HR, 26 RBI in 63 G.  If he can eliminate some of the holes in his swing and develop better pitch recognition, he would provide the much needed right-handed power bat in the lineup. The 27 year old's defense in the outfield is okay, as he catches what he gets to, but his range is poor.  Ruf's value is in his bat.

Cody Asche - .269/.781, 17 R, 5 HR, 21 RBI in 39 G.  The 23 year old has hit at every level, and after a rough start at the plate in the Majors, he's now doing the same thing.  He's very athletic and has great range at 3B.  Envision him starting at the hot corner for most of next season.

Jake Diekman - 41 G, 34.1 IP, 38 K, 2.88 ERA, and a 1.31 WHIP.  The 25 year old, fire-balling lefty is starting to harness his stuff, and the results are positive (2.35 ERA/1.04 WHIP in the 2nd half).

17 comments:

Bob D said...

Hernandez seems a better fit than Galvis, if only we knew he could play SS, 3B, & all OF spots.

Ruf is interesting this offseason. He could be penciled in as RF or traded for someone of value. Or he could end up as 4th OF/1B backup.

If Ruben had the funds and smarts to bring in both Choo and N Cruz to be starting CF & RF with Brown in LF and Revere and Ruf on bench this team would be really strong in the outfield and the bench. They both would be just an injury away from starting which we know they can do, so why not make it a strong team instead of playing Mayberry or the MiniMarts of the world when someone gets hurt?

Time to think outside the box

Morak99 said...

Were it me designing 2014:

C- Ruiz (back on 1-2 year deal)
1B- I will give Howard a chance, but if he continues to be a negative WAR player hitting lefties, he becomes a platoon with Ruf.
2B- Utley
SS- Rollins
3B- Asche
LF- Brown
CF- Revere
RF- Ruf

Bench- Hernandez, Galvis, Kratz/Rupp bring in Jason Kubel as a free agent (he's not as bad as he was this season and could be a good fourth OF/ platooner if Ruf is spending time at 1st), and then whatever else is good and cheap. Don't really have ideas. I guess Mayberry as a 5th OF is passable.

Rotation- Hamels, Lee, Gonzalez, Pettibone, and then your choice of a risky 5th: Halladay or Lincecum. Trade Kendrick for whatever you can get, it won't be much. I'd really like to go after Garza, but not if he costs us a draft pick.

Bullpen:
Papelbon
Adams
Bastardo
Deikman
De Fratus
Martin
Free Agent

GM-Carson said...

Morak- that might be what Amaro does, but I don't think that will be good enough to get to the playoffs.

I like the idea of adding Choo, especially to bat leadoff.

Bob D said...

Choo has a sick on base percentage.

Morak99 said...

I agree that mine is not a playoff team, but I just don't see any way they can get there next year no matter what he does. This basically gives a decent enough team to keep fans interested while allowing Ashce, Ruf, Brown, Revere, Pettibone, and the young 'pen arms to develop in preparation for actually trying to get to the postseason in 2015.

Knowing RAJ, he'll try to fit a square peg into a round hole and go for the postseason, to the franchises' detriment.

GM-Carson said...

Morak- I agree with your team, in that is probably what we're looking at. The Howard extension is crippling. If not for that wasted $25M, you could have a cheap Ruf at 1st base and sign a Choo or Beltran for RF.

GM-Carson said...

Chase Utley is having his best season since 2009, which is a good sign heading into his extension.

GM-Carson said...

Alright, I'm done with Roger Bernadina.

Andrew said...

What about Rosenberg or DeFratus? Like what you're seeing there?

GM-Carson said...

Rosenberg and DeFratus are okay. I don't think they are something you can count on in the backend of the bullpen in high leverage situations. Pitching in the 6th, 7th, or 8th inning when the team is behind...sure.

Andrew said...

DeFratus has been up and down, but I think Rosenberg has been very effective. The sample size is small, but he's only allowed 2 ER in last 14 IP and has 14Ks in that time too. I would definitely give him a chance in 2014. Martin might be more of a "lets see how he does in spring training" kind of guy

GM-Carson said...

Ethan Martin has been a mess.

I just looked at all the players on the Phils 40 man roster, with the addition of Shin-Soo Choo and created a game plan for next season that would produce a playoff worthy offense.

Lots of stats, so it will be tomorrow's post.

Bob D said...

Bullpen:
Papelbon
Adams
Bastardo (unless the team needs $$$)
Deikman
Rosenberg
DeFratus
Martin
Jiminez
1 Free Agent setup guy

that brings 9 into that count with Stutes, Horst, Savery and several others in AAA/battle for a spot with these guys.

Offense is:
Choo CF
Asche 3B
Utley 2B
Cruz RF
Brown LF
Ruiz C
Howard 1B
Rollins SS

This puts Ruf and Revere on bench as back ups or trade fodder. Hernandez, Galvis, Frandsen, Kratz, Rupp would all be on bench or AAA. If there is depth on the bench and I am talking good depth then over an entire year it will pay off.

This is also good enough for the playoffs. I also eliminate the 'traditional roles' for Howard in cleanup and Rollins leading off. If they produce then they can be moved up in lineup. This adds probably the best OF with OB% in Choo and the best righthanded power threat in Cruz that would be available. That is unless Stanton would be available.

Andrew said...

Cruz? Ha. You want a 33 year old roider thats going to cost $10M? I'd stick with a mixture of Hernandez and Revere rather than go that route.

I do like Choo though, as he's younger and hasn't yet shown a decline in his stats. Plus he'd probably be cheaper. He is more of a defensive liability than the others, though.

Bob D said...

Yes Cruz or someone with similar hitting would fit nicely in lineup

Morak99 said...

Cruz also has the advantage of being right handed.

GM-Carson said...

No to Cruz.