Monday, November 05, 2012

Jimmy Rollins and the Hall of Fame

Last year when Jimmy Rollins signed his new contract with the Phillies I commented on it by saying, ""If Jimmy is able to start another 4-5 years and finishes around: .270/.750, 1500 R, 2600 H, 525 DBL, 120 TRPL, 225 HR, 1000 RBI, 500 SB, then I think he's HoF material."

Corey then countered with an entire post outlining that J-Roll will merely go down in history as a very good player, but not HoF worthy.  He made many good points as to why Rollins won't sniff the Hall, but I'm still not convinced.

Rollins has 3 years left on his contract with the Phillies (assuming his 2015 option vest) and continues to be an elite shortstop.  Truth is, the Steroids Era is over, and all those inflated statistics, especially for middle infielders, are in decline.  However, Jimmy continues to remain near the top in most offensive categories among his counterparts and is still highly regarded for his defense, as evidence by being awarded his 4th Gold Glove.  He is the 3rd best shortstop in the history of the game in terms of fielding percentage. 

J-Roll has also stated that he would like to play until he's 40.  The man is in tremendous shape, so this is not out of the question.  He's currently 33 years old, set to turn 34 at the end of November, so that means possibly 7 more seasons.  He's going to putting up a lot of counting stats if that's the case.

For the sake of argument, let's say he only has 5 more quality yeas left in him.  My new estimations for career stats would be: 2435 G, .265/.750, 1575 R, 2685 H, 540 DBL, 120 TRPL, 270 HR, 1080 RBI, 530 SB, 51 WAR.  I doubt he'll get another GG, but it's still possible, and another All-Star appearance is not out of the question.  That makes for an impressive players rewards card.

His Baseball-Reference Hall of Fame meter is creeping closer to "worthy" too:
Black InkBatting - 14 (169), Average HOFer ≈ 27
Gray InkBatting - 75 (325), Average HOFer ≈ 144
Hall of Fame MonitorBatting - 88 (199), Likely HOFer ≈ 100
Hall of Fame StandardsBatting - 35 (214), Average HOFer ≈ 50

By no means, do I believe he's a surefire Hall of Famer.  I do think there's a decent chance for him though.

*For a mouth watering collection of Phillies fan beauties, check out this link.


Downtownts said...

Jimmy runs out hits wgen he wants to and this doesn't always help the TEAM. The fact that Jimmy likes to swing at the first pitch also doesn't help the Phils. I would not have been upset if he had been traded last season for a couple of good players. No , I don't think Jimmy is Hall of Fame material.

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