Sunday, June 17, 2012

Here's What I Think...

- I think that Cliff Lee doesn't have a win because 1) the team has generally played like garbage this year and especially during Lee's starts and that has cost him wins 2) Lee hasn't pitched well enough in some games to get the win.

The reason I felt the need to make the above statement is due to the recent increased intensity of the argument between those who feel that Lee is under-performing an those who blame the winless season on poor team play and bad luck. While it should be obvious that Lee's winless season is due to a combination of these reasons, there are still a lot of people who feel that it is one or the other. These people, on both sides, are idiots.

Lee is still a great pitcher. He's pitched a handful of great games that deserved to end in a 'W' for Clifton. He has 77 Ks in 77 innings and 1.12 WHIP. In the words of the late Al Davis, "He a great player. Get over it."

However, if you feel that Cliff Lee is absolved of responsibility for his poor record because of his xFIP, or SIERA, or because of 'bad luck,' you are dead wrong and I suggest actually watching a baseball game every now and again while reassessing your unconditional devotion to numbers. Giving up 12 hits to the Blue Jays is not bad luck. Giving up a three run home run to Who's-That Tolleson with a three run lead is not bad luck. Giving up 4+ runs in more than a quarter of his starts is not bad luck. It's called occasionally inadequate pitching resulting in a no-decision.

There's not hope for the people who think Cliff Lee is not good. Those 'fans' should give up their interest in baseball and become Yankee fans already. But those with a fundamentalist devotion to statistics (sabermentalists? fundastatitions?) need to intermittently abandon the cause and admit that the numbers don't always tell you everything you need to know. They need to accept that a players poor performance might actually effect his outcome and that a great player can actually perform poorly on occasion without using statistics to blame something else.

- I think that Joe Savery is an idiot. While in the stretch, staring directly at first base, he decided to throw over despite having no defensive player occupying the base. Balk. Ummm, what???

A right handed pitcher could at least argue that he thought the first baseman was holding the runner as he doesn't have the clear view of the base. When I was a young pitcher, the first baseman left the base after I had gone into the stretch and I didn't notice before I threw over. That pick-off attempt did not go well. It happens. But Savery is looking directly at the base. He knows where every body on that side of the field is. So either 1) he doesn't know the rules 2) he balked on purpose 3) he had a partial seizure that resulted in uncontrolled left movement in an upward then forward motion, thus projecting that ball toward Ty Wiggington or 4) he's a complete moron who has no explanation for his actions.

- I think that if Chad Qualls is the best option for holding a small 8th inning lead, this might be the worst bullpen, outside of the closer, in the league. I'm so glad the Phillies demoted Raul Valdes. His 2.13 ERA was killing this team. If only he would have just thrown with his right hand and raised his ERA over five, he would have kept his spot in the 'pen...

- I think that if Chad Qualls is not the best option for holding a small 8thin inning lead then Charlie Manuel is terrible in-game manager and is costing this already bad team some much needed wins. For years, WSBGMs opinion on Charlie Manuel has essentially been this: he's great if the team is really good and doesn't rely on wit, guile or strategy from the manager to win games but a mediocre or worse team will struggle because his in-game deficiencies will cost victories. We've gotten beat up pretty hard because of our opinion that a manager can influence a significant number of games, even though 4-5 games a year can be the difference between the playoffs and higher draft pick. It can also be the difference between winning or losing a playoff series.

Now, I'm not calling for Charlie Manuel to get fired. Firing the manager when half of the team is hurt and the GM can't put together a decent bullpen would be ridiculous. I'm just saying that Manuel continues to be a poor in-game manager and the more the Phillies need wins, the more this becomes painfully frustrating.

- I think I'll not watch the game today in protest of garbage baseball (and because I won't be near a television, but let's still use the 'protest' reason...)

- I think that I don't want to go to work this morning, that Tiger Woods totally choked yesterday, that this was a pretty cathartic Sunday morning rant, that 'Grepolis' is a fun waste of time that I will tire of in one week, that this season is probably over but I won't give up hope, that Euro 2012 is terrific so far, and that many future posts will deal with which players to trade before August...

18 comments:

Anonymous said...

Manuel should be fired. I can't think of a worse manager when it comes to handling a pitching staff. And spare me about him being a hitting guru - this team is historically bad with runners in scoring position. No one is held accountable. The inmates run the asylum and the manger is starting to bounce off the walls just like his team. Heaven forbid they learn something for a HOFer in Ryan sandberg as either manger or hitting coach (ala manager in waiting)...

Corey said...

i agree that manuel is doing a poor job and probably shouldn't

i agree that sandberg would probably be a better manager.

but firing manuel now is just bad timing. he would then look like a scapegoat for amaro's mistakes and his unconditional supporters (which there are very many) would blame the injuries/amaro/etc and the fan moral/support would take a big hit. i don't think the positives of a better manager would make up for the loss of fan support and player moral.

now, if amaro gets the heave today then the new GM should clear house, starting with manuel. but that won't happen.

Anonymous said...

I agree Amaro should go too, but if one were to go now, I would hands down remove Manuel. Heaven forbid you shake up this complacent clubhouse (I'd also send Victorino packing to send another message).

Maybe if you want Amaro gone now too, you could bring back Gillick til the end of the season. I would seriously look at that. I would also want Sandberg in place with the new pieces if you are going to be sellers (and I think this team needs to be sellers).

Maybe I am wrong, but I think fans would be welcoming of Sandberg. Even the most loyal Manuel apologists are starting to question his logic, or lack thereof...

Corey said...

i agree that if the team becomes a 'seller' soon and trades away some players (vic, polanco, thome, whoever) then that would be a good time get rid of charlie.

Aaron said...

That's it. I checked in on the Phil's everyday for 32 years. I am taking a vacation from the Phillies. I'm gonna go one week without checking any scores. Reading any articles.....nothing. I just can't do it anymore. This is the least fun season of baseball I have ever seen.

Ben said...

Amaro should go right this second. Manuel should go if the Phillies are still playing this poorly when Halladay and Howard are back (I refuse to believe Utley is coming back. He's a compulsive liar about his injuries.) Until then, I'll give Cholly a begrudging pass.

Anonymous said...

Manuel refuses to use Papelbon in a number of tie games, but will use him today 4 runs down. He has completely lost it, or is longing to be fired. The front office should grant that firing wish...

Sandberg and Gillick in - Manuel and Amaro outta here!!

The lapses aren't only in the field, they are in Charlie's mind too...

GM-Carson said...

He uses Papelbon in games where they're down 4+ runs because he has to get work in because Charlie skipped him in all those tie games.

Manuel is not a good manager.

Good guy, sure. Nice, yep. Good with a pitching staff, hell no.

I can't stand this team because of the bloated payroll and horrible record. Second highest payroll in baseball, despite injuries, should mean you're in playoff contention at all time. But it doesn't because Amaro spent the money unwisely.

Screw this team.

GM-Carson said...

Lidge released by Gnats. Wonder if Phils will pick him up?

Not that I want them to.

imafan said...

The Phils will pick Lidge up, make Papelbon a starter, convince Thome to play some SS, and sign Galvis to 5 years and 50 million.

That's how F'd up it is right now.

Ben said...

Wonder what Steve Carlton is up to these days...

Jack said...

while i agree uncle cholly has been a joke since he let us lose the playoff series last year by sticking to "his guys" after it was obvious "his guys" weren't getting the job done...cleary the problems here run much deeper..

$11 million for a .250 hitter with a .300 OBP who can steal 20-30 bases a year and hit 20 homeruns and plays an above average shortstop-yeah that souns expensive to me too

on the hook to our 1b for another 4 years and he hasn't played since last October...

a top quality pitcher who can't get it done when we need it done...

a right fielder who is very streaky and can't seem to hit right handed pitching to save his life...

this teams issue go far beyond a bad manager...

Anonymous said...

That shouldn't exclude that bad manager. He has done a terrible job. What team he has left, has quit. He never changes. He is going down in flames. End his misery.

Beer-a-Thon said...

minus 6

total shit

Jeremy said...

On the positive side on Pennsylvania baseball the Pirates are in contention and Alvarez hit 4 HR's in the last 2 games. Go Pirates.

Jeremy said...

He is also tied for the lead in the vaunted Howard stat.

Ben said...

After all they have suffered, I'm more than ok if the Pirates do well.

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