Thursday, October 13, 2011

Howard, Fuqua & Rollins

Howard's Return?
Ryan Howard had surgery to repair his ruptured Achilles tendon yesterday and the timetable for his return is 5-6 months, with the Phillies saying likely April. Power comes from the legs in both pitching and hitting, and without a good base struggles occur. Howard already struggles enough, so being pessimistic about the long term effect this has on him is natural. Thank God for that extension though...NOT!
Yes, I just broke out a lame 90's joke. Deal with it.

Manuel Wants More:
Fuqua spoke his mind the other day and wants more stability at 3rd base and an improved approach at the plate next season from all the hitters. Also, he expects the World Series, not just the playoffs. Great! No go do it.
"I take a lot of pride in hitters. I get upset sometimes when we don't hit as good as I want us to hit or think we should hit. Let me tell you something. I don't care whether you like it or not, I know how good a hitting coach I am. Whether you want to believe that or whatever, really. We will get better. The pitchers make adjustments and the hitters have to make adjustments. If you don't like to or are afraid to go deep in the count or to hit with two strikes on you, you are going to get anxious, you'll be aggressive and chase bad balls. At times, we'll take a fastball right down the middle, some guy will throw a breaking ball down and we'll roll over it and swing at it and miss. That's not good hitting. We talk about that all the time."
~Charles Fuqua Manuel

As far as upgrading 3rd, that's not so easily done. Aramis Ramirez is the only major upgrade available on the market, and he's likely to be expensive. Utility players capable of playing 3rd include Clint Barmes, Wilson Betemit, Jamey Carroll, and Jerry Hairston, but none are really any better than Polanco (who just had double hernia surgery and may miss the beginning of the season). However, any of them would make an excellent addition to the Phillies weak bench.

Rollins is All About the Money:
Jimmy Rollins wants a 5 year contract and will not accept anything lower than a 4 year deal with a 5th year player option. I would never do that. He's injured and declining and plays a speed position. 3 years tops, and that could be sketchy. J-Roll wants the money, and he, just like Jayson Werth is going to the place that gives him the most (as do most free agents). I just hope that place isn't Philadelphia under those conditions (years/$).

From Sir Alden-
J-Roll is worth 3 years at 8 Mil with a 4th Year Option at 8 Mil/3 Mil buyout tops.

No one cheered more loudly than I did when J-Roll hit the ball on the screws and began to run for his 20th Triple 5 years ago.

He has been injured and on the DL 3 times in the last 2 years. He must take that into account, and that Father Time works on all of us.

He has no interest in a 1 year $12 Mil contract where he could show that the injuries are behind him.

The Phillies are bidding against themselves and San Francisco. I am pretty sure the Giants have learned their lesson with Aaron "Face Plant" Rowand.

Aug 31, 2011
"In a clear message from management, the Giants have designated Miguel Tejada and Aaron Rowand for assignment. The Giants crossed a big bridge by swallowing the $12 million owed to Rowand in 2012 but Sabean said that wasn’t much of a speed bump for ownership. They signed off on the move without delay. The total amount they ate on Rowand was almost $14 million, including the salary still owed to him this year."

The Dodgers and Oakland A's will never sign Rollins for over 3 years.

The Phillies won 102 Games with him on the DL for a good chunk of the season. Hamels, a top closer, and even Roy Oswalt if he would take a Carpenter-like 2 years at 10 Mil per year contract are more important.

And - they need to roll the dice on Aramis Ramirez at 3B.


Rich said...

I agree with everything you wrote there. I don't know if you're being aggressive enough though. I think Aramis Ramirez is worth the gamble, but can they really put Galvis and Mayberry/Mayberry-Brown both into this line-up? I think this line-up needs at least two upgrades, and the bench needs a total makeover.

Anonymous said...

I have had Aramis on my fantasy team the last 3 years. Just an FYI he is oft injured. Time is not on his side.

He will bat .270s and get 20-30HR when healthy. But when he goes down you have no idea what you are going to get.

I realize that is the idea of a gamble. But I would rather see the Phillies build up from within. I know they pigeonholed themselves with the current pitching rotation, making it a no or never situation.

Just curious if now you are playing the buy game when will you ever have the chance to build within?

GM-Carson said...

Not sure what to do at SS. I wish Rollins would take 3 years and somewhere around $24M. He wants more, but not sure if anybody will offer it.

If you can't keep Rollins, you get a Jerry Hairston, Carroll, or Barmes to help groom Galvis and bat them 7th or 8th.

I'm fine with a Mayberry/Brown platoon. I think if Mayberry plays everyday, we're looking at a .230ish hitter with a ton of K's. Play him against mostly LHP and it's a different story.

A-Ram at 3rd would be nice, but what are his contract expectations?

How about just signing Betemit and have him split time with Polly.

Bob D said...

Brining in another third baseman is a good idea and Polly could be a super utility guy/ pinch hitter to replace Martinez or Valdez.
I would be ok with Ibanez return to replace Gload (at a cheaper price), and someone else to replace Francisco maybe someone with some speed there.

Those 3 changes would make the bench much stronger.

Not really worried about rotation: Doc, Lee, Hamels, Worley, Kendrick/Blanton, maybe Oswalt. With several top prospects at AA and AAA next year.

Bullpen well there is lots of talent in minors, but not sure if they want to go on cheap there.

Rich said...

Betemit is not a bad player. Signing a guy like him is like killing two birds with one stone. If he shares time with Polly, and Brown and Mayberry do the same, you start with two guys on your bench every day that you feel comfortable with using. That's an upgrade on this year.

I'd really like to see them go big though. I don't feel like the Utley-Pence-Howard-Victorino middle is going to get it done, as is.

GM-Carson said...

Ibanez on a 1 year $1M deal to be a pinch hitter and few times a month LF would be fine. Does he want more though?

Rich said...

I know we think Raul is done- and he is. But he hit 20 homers and drove in 84. I have to imagine some team will offer him better, right?

Randy said...

The team needs some attitude changes as well as personnel changes. If Rollins wants the sky, then adios without batting an eye. We don't need that vibe in this clubhouse, which already has some intensity and work problems (right, Ryan?). Jerry Hairston is Wilson Valdez w/o a change-up, so I don't see any merit to bringing him in and screwing around with WV vs. mini-mart. what about trying to turn Mayberry into a first baseman? And I like Raaa-uuul and would not mind him playing some role...I could even live with him in LF if necessary. He has the right work ethic that all of them should have. Or, as RAJ said in so many words, "or else." That applies to Chawlee too.

Preserve Jon said...

I think Manuel has a pretty long leash owing to his success, but the issue of the offense not producing as expected - or producing at all - will be the issue that brings him down in the future. If the current trend continues through the next season, his job will be on the line in 2013. We've been reading the same quotes about offense over the past 6-7 seasons now - thus so have the players. After a while, applying a singular philosophy can tire. Perhaps we're seeing what we've all known. While initially successful, Charlie is a bit of a one-trick pony.
Of course by 2013, he may simply retire.

ripjgarcia said...

Signing Betemit actually solves the Howard late-start issue as well, with Utley playing 1B till Howard is back.

GM-Carson said...

Ibanez's career should be over as a every day player. He is still capable of stringing together some good game and being a role player, but to rely on a 40 year old outfielder with declining skills (just look at the stats!) would be silly/stupid.

If he's a bench guy- fine.
If he's a regular- dumb.

SirAlden said...

Thanks for fixing my TyPos!

Is there a way you can turn on the feature that a poster can edit their own posts in Blogger?

We have a great team. Solid. Need a Bat. Aramis Ramirez and even Heaven forbid Jose Reyes.

Because of the economy and thanks to Werth and Crawford I think that maybe Contracts will not be as long or with crazy money this year.

High Hopes!

SirAlden said...

I second Raul at 2 Mil if he wants to still play and be 5th OF/ Pinchhiter.

Great Character Guy. Not sure what he wants to do with his life.

SirAlden said...

I also like Gentleman Jim on the same terms.

There was a notice that Polly may not be 100% at the start of the season with his surgeries.

ripjgarcia said...

I'm confused as to your hangup on Thome. He can't play the field anymore. Period. Ross Gload was a waste of a spot on this roster this year for that same reason. It's just not fundamentally sound to make a signing like that.

Rich said...

I'm not saying we should make Raul a starter, just that someone else will probably offer him that. I'd take him back in a reduced roll/paycheck, sure. I just don't see it happening.

GM-Carson said...

Thome is a nice sentimental thought, but it's not gonna happen, nor should it. He can't play the field, and in the NL that's a bad thing. Hell, even Giambi can still play some 1st.

ripjgarcia said...

This makes Charlie Manuel look like a saint.

Leyland on Verlander

"The only thing I'm worried about today is his pitch count"

The only reliever Leyland mentioned by name for being on call is left-hander Phil Coke

Leyland said Coke could pitch two innings "if he has to."

"I hope he doesn't have to," Leyland said. "If he has to, we're probably not going to win."


Current Innings Pitched: 6
Current Pitch Count: 113
Game Score 2-2

None of those blips up there is taken outta context.

I'd fire Leyland tomorrow, win or lose.

ripjgarcia said...

I guess they won 133 pitches later.

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Sam I Am said...

Didn't I see where Greg Dobbs was a free agent this year? That would be a nice addition @ 3rd base. He and Polly could platoon vs. right and left handed pitching. This would give Polly more rest; yet, either one would be available to come off the bench or pinch hit as the game progresses.

GM-Carson said...

Dobbs is horrible defensively and sucked the last year he was here (2010). Even with his .275 batting average this year, his OPS was still a pedestrian .701. No thanks.