Thursday, May 05, 2011

Blanton vs. Worley (The Debate)

Vance Worley has done nothing but dazzle in his brief time in the Majors. He impressed while pitching in a few games in September last season and has two high quality starts this season in place of the injured Joe Blanton. Joe Blanton on the other hand has been awful for two starts and good for the other two starts. He is a veteran under contract through 2012 and is a proven innings eater and winner, which is ideal for the 5th slot in the rotation on this staff. However, Worley is clearly ready for a chance at a full-time MLB gig and has outperformed Blanton. Thing is, Blanton is ready to be activated from the DL. What to do, what to do?

Blanton- 30
Worley- 23

Blanton- $8.5M in both '11 and '12
Worley- $414,000 league minimum

2011 Stats:
Blanton- 4 GS, 0-1, 24.1 IP, 5.92 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 6:17 BB:K
Worley- 2 GS, 2-0, 12 IP, 0.75 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 4:12 BB:K

Career Stats:
Blanton- 199 G, 194 GS, 72-61, 1226.2 IP, 4.33 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 341:794 BB:K
Worley- 7 G, 4 GS, 3-1, 25 IP, 1.08 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 8:24 BB:K

Worley was drafted out of Long Beach State in the 3rd round of the 2008 draft. His professional debut was successful in '08, going 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 13 starts in two Single-A stops. Then in 2009 he hit a speed bump, seeing his ERA rocket to 5.34 in 27 starts for the Double-A Reading Phillies. He bounced back nicely last year with a 10-7 record and 3.36 ERA in stops in Double-A and Triple-A. To begin this year he sported a 2.78 ERA in 4 starts with Lehigh Valley. The kid knows how to pitch. Added bonus- he seems to know how to handle the bat too (2-4 this year and has 2 minore league HR).

Since I like to play GM, I will. Send Worley down to Triple-A for about a month, while Joe makes 4-5 decent starts in the month of May. Then once Blanton proves he's healthy and pitching good enough to be traded, swap him for a prospect, reliever, or bench bat and recall Worley ASAP. Assure Worley he did everything right and that he is in the organization's short-term and long-term plans and will be an integral part of the team this season. With this the Phillies are able to get salary relief and possibly employ the better pitcher in the rotation.

I appreciate all that Blanton has done for this organization, but it is time to get cheaper, younger, and possibly better.


ripjgarcia said...

Watching the game last night I was extremely impressed with Worley's ability to pitch to the edges of the plate. Most pitchers learn this through a maturation process.

GM-Carson said...

I'm not annointing Worley an ace, but he surely seems ready to perform on the big stage as a #5.

Todd Boss said...

Only flaw in your plan: who is going to want to trade for a guy making $10.5M this year and another $10.5M next, who has a 5.92 era on the season? What do you really expect to get back for Blanton?

And, any team that would take him would probably want something in the range of $15M from the team. You're already at $165M payroll for the year.

GM-Carson said...

$10.5M? I could swear he's making $8.5M, although it's still very expensive.

My plan hinges on Blanton pitching well over the next 4 starts and dropping his ERA into the respectable 4 range. A team like Boston might be willing to do a Scutaro for Blanton deal. Personally, I'd be okay with a team basically just taking him on and not getting much in return.

ripjgarcia said...

Scutaro started pitching relief?

Droopy said...

Blanton is due to make $8.5 mil this year and next...

SirAlden said...

Good plan.

But it will take more than 4-5 starts to get anyone interested in taking on Salary.

I think All-Star Break is the time to remove the most cash of Blanton's Contract or get something useful in return.

Lots to learn for Worley's secondary pitches, and 2 time around the league, will be harder for him.

Kendrick is the person who deserves to be a 4-5 Starter for a Second Division Team. Would be nice to move
him and save half his salary which is 2 Million + this year.

SirAlden said...

Let's see 165 Million + 15 Million =

Yes! 165 Million! Blanton is not paid twice.

Anonymous said...


Noah The Kid said...

I own him in a 30-team 40/25-roster 100mil CAP dynasty league and am being offered Brad Ziegler, Nate Adcock, Adieny Hevverechia, and Micheal Taylor for Vance Worely and Josh Bell. Shuld I accept? I am short on SP and RP.

PS Please respond to my Email about the MD.

GM-Carson said...

Is this a keeper league? If so, make the trade. If not, you might wanna consider the swap.

GM-Carson said...

BTW, props to Ibanez on a great series. Here's to hoping this success continues.

Rando said...

Exactly right. Blanton reestablishes himself as trade-worthy, then RAJ pulls the trigger (to include eating some of Joe's bloated salary if necessary), and Worley is back up as the #5. Well deserved. Hope he is mature enough to see the big picture. He's shown everything we want to see in the rotation. Or at least, he's shown more than KK and Joe this year.

Bob D said...

Always good to keep someone like Worley available for that dreaded injury or the doubleheader when you need a spot starter. Atleast until another prospects shows he is ready to fill in. Blanton does have value to many teams that need a starter and 8.5 mil is not too much and they would have control for another year too.

Sturgeon General said...

So what do you do next year when Oswalt retires? Now you have a hole in the rotation and only Kyle Kendrick to fill it. Its gonna cost at least 8 million to upgrade it via free agency and at that you'll only find a Blanton caliber starter.

Being that injuries are part of the game and that the Phils have used at least 7 SP every season under Manuel... isn't it maybe a good idea to hold onto Blanton for pitching depth. So we don't get stuck with Kendrick or Bonine in the rotation if another injury hits?

GM-Carson said...

Sure it's a "good idea", but the Phils need to shed payroll somewhere and start getting cheaper in certain areas. Worley in the rotation helps that. Next year KK is the 5th starter or one of the kids coming up in the system.

Sturgeon General said...

Why do they have to shed payroll? Just because they are at their limit doesn't mean they need to cut back their payroll. None of the kids will be ready to start for at least 2 if not 3 years. Worley is the only kid in a position to be a starter and I'd rather not see a spot in the rotation wasted on Kendrick. Phils don't have a strong enough offense to bail him out anymore like they used to in '07 and '08