Thursday, April 21, 2011

Series Preview - Padres

Pitching Matchups
Thursday, 10:05, Roy Oswalt v. Mat Latos
Friday, 10:05, Cole Hamels v. Clayton Richard
Saturday, 8:35, Joe Blanton v. Tim Stauffer
Sunday, 4:05, Doc Halladay v. Dustin Moseley

The Padres Offense:
Avg - .222 (30th)
OBP – .309 (25th)
Slug - .334 (28th)

Those are some pretty pitiful offensive numbers. Of course, numbers can be deceiving. Just not in this situation. This offense really, really , really sucks.

They don’t hit for power. The closest thing they have to a power threat is Ryan Ludwick. Unfortunately for the Padres and Ludwick, it’s not 2008 anymore. They don’t hit for average. Catcher Nick Hundley, a career .250 hitter, is the only starter hitting over .260. Yes, you read that correctly. Seven of the eight regulars are below .260.

Really bad Padres stat – the first base platoon of Jorge Cantu and Brad Hawpe are hitting a combined .142 with one homer and eight RBI. That’s almost as bad as having a three-hole hitter have only one RBI through 17 games. Almost.

Really good Padres stat – the Padres have been able to steal a Majors-leading 26 bases so far with Cameron Maybin (6) and the O-Dog (7) leading the way. But Ruiz will have a chance, as the Padres are second in the majors at getting caught stealing, too.

The Padres Pitching:
ERA – 2.97 (3rd)
WHIP – 1.21 (6th)
BAA - .243 (10th)

The starters are pretty good. Mat Latos is back pitching after a DL stint for a sore shoulder. He looks to build on a great 2010 when he posted a 2.98 ERA including a 7 inning, 1 ER start against the Phils last September. 2003 first-rounder Tim Stauffer is now starting full time after having a 1.85 ERA in 2010 throwing mainly out of the bullpen. Clayton Richard is a solid middle-rotation lefty who limited the Phils to only four hits in 7.2 innings last season. Dustin Moseley will likely get the start in the finale. He’s 0-3 with a 1.40 ERA this season. The hard luck journeyman is unlikely to keep that pace up, though. His career ERA is 4.90. This will be the first time he’s faced the Phillies in any situation.

The real strength of this team is in the bullpen. Check out the ERAs of their primary relievers – Heath Bell (1.13), Mike Adams (0.90), Luke Gregerson (1.93), Chad Qualls (3.12), Pat Neshek (2.57), and Ernesto Frieri (1.86).

Prediction:
The Padres haven’t won a series since opening weekend when they took two of three from the Cardinals. And there is no way they win three games this weekend. Of course, the Phils aren’t exactly a team on fire right now. Therefore, I’m calling a split.

Food For Thought:
The highest paid player on the Padres, closer Heath Bell, makes less than Joe Blanton.

Roy Halladay, Ryan Howard and Shane Victorino’s combined salaries are more than the entire Padres team.

The Padres have $13 million committed to next year and 14 arbitration eligible players. The Phillies have over $112 million committed for 2012 with 5 arbitration eligible players.

5 comments:

GM-Carson said...

A series split might be the best we can hope for, considering the Phils offense is bad and is playing in spacious Petco Park.

Bob D said...

You know its bad when the 5th starter has more RBI's than your #3 hitter.
But Victorino (leadoff hitter) has 10 and #2 hitter Polanco has 15 already

GM-Carson said...

J-Roll batting 7th wouldn't be bad. Batting 3rd is unforgivable.

GM-Carson said...

From ESPN's The Sweet Spot blog:

1B -- Ryan Howard, Phillies. When I asked for overrated nominees on Twitter, Howard easily received the most votes. Over the past three seasons, 16 first basemen received at least 1,500 plate appearances. Howard is 14th in OBP. He's fifth in slugging, but 10th in OPS. Look, Howard is a good player. He hits home runs and drives in runs. He seems like a great guy. But he's not one of the top five first basemen in the game and shouldn't be finishing in the top 10 in the NL MVP vote every season.

Noah The Kid said...

#1
The Padres offense is the worst.
#2
I think we will win tonight and tommorow but not Sunday.
#3
Cantu, Ludwick, Hawpe, and Venable are hitting under .200
#4
You stole my blog name...
#5
Congratulations on being on MLBtraderumors!
#6
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