Tuesday, April 05, 2011

Series Preview - Mets

Pitching Matchups
Tuesday, 7:05, Cole Hamels v. Chris Young
Wednesday, 7:05, Joe Blanton v. Mike Pelfrey
Thursday, 3:05, Roy Halladay v. Jonathon Niese

The Mets Offense:
Avg - .249 (22nd)
OBP – .314 (25th)
Slug - .383 (23rd)

Jose Reyes’ speed is still dangerous and David Wright got the “pop” back in his bat last season after a 10 homer season in 2009, but overall this current Mets lineup is not very good. Jason Bay’s 2010 was ripe with injuries, missed games and little production. His 2011? He’s already sitting on the DL. Carlos Beltran is light years away from hitting 41 homers in 2006. Here are his HR totals for the last 5 years – 41, 33, 27, 10, and 7. Ike Davis has power potential but even he is only two years removed from a minor league season where he went 250+ at-bats without a home run. As for the rest – Angel Pagan, Josh Thole, Willie Harris, Lucas Duda, and Daniel Murphy – I can best describe them as “useful, but quite average.”

The Mets Pitching:
ERA – 3.70 (7th)
WHIP – 1.36 (18th)
BAA - .260 (18th)

Their number one starter is that tongue-wagging freak Mike Pelfrey. Pelfrey isn’t a bad pitcher, in fact he only gave up 2 earned runs in his first four starts last season. Of course, he also had an ERA over 10 in the month of July. Series opening starter Chris Young only pitched in 4 games last season and during his time in San Diego he took advantage of the spacious atmosphere of Petco Park to keep his ERA relatively low. Consider his home/away ERA splits in 2009 – 2.61 home, 7.82 away. Citizens Bank Park, however, isn’t quite as spacious. Game 3 starter Jon Niese is actually a pretty good pitcher who had some success against the Phils last season – 3 starts, 21 innings, 5 ER. Unfortunately for Niese and the Mets, the Doctor will be operating that day…

Prediction:
The Legion of Broom will strike again and sweep the Mets out of town. [They’ll probably take two of three, but that isn’t a very sexy prediction, so I went with the sweep…]

17 comments:

GM-Carson said...

How's the weather looking for this series?

I'd like to see Maybeer get the start against Niese on Thursday. Manuel needs to rest Ibanez on some day games following night games, especially with a lefty on the mound.

Corey said...

rain all day today, clearing by gametime, with temp around 50 for first pitch.

30% chance of showers for wednesday and thursday.

GM-Carson said...

Thank you meteorologist Corey.

Preserve Jon said...

Guess we have a little clue as to why Kendrick stunk the other day. Seems he's got a few other things on his mind.

http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/phillies/20110405_Phillies_Notes__Series_ring_stolen_from_Kendrick.html


Also, did you guys read that NYTimes Mag piece on the Phils four (Zo had it posted the other day). Not the most flattering piece of journalism. It was tinged with the feeling of "pitchers were tougher, better and more fearsome back in my day." Even Schmidty got in on some light criticism. Conlin picked up on it in his column today.

GM-Carson said...

Sounds like Utley will be cleared for jogging soon. That's a step in the right direction, but jogging is a helluva lot different that running the bases or turning double plays. Still has a long way to go.

ripjgarcia said...

As a side note with the weather tonight, you are looking at 20 mph winds blowing in from the WNW, so expect some tricky pop flies.

Cynic said...

So you're essentially telling me Ben Francisco is going to play an otherwise routine fly out into an inside the park homerun.

Corey said...

right. but the wind will just give him an excuse.

GM-Carson said...

It's a good think The Ben Francisco Treat is hitting so far, because he defense really needs to improve.

GM-Carson said...

Only player in the Mets lineup batting better than .250 is Ike Davis.

I really hope Hamels comes out guns blazing this season. I want him to put together a complete campaign.

Corey said...

Ol' Girl Parts showed some man parts getting out of the first unscathed. hopefully that sets the trend for the rest of this game and season...

Nikole said...

Hamels is pitching like he did all spring .....LIKE SHIT

Corey said...

wow. that was freaking terrible.

thanks for blowing the chance at 162-0, cole.

ripjgarcia said...

Sometimes I think the Phillies just like to pad opposing pitchers batting averages.

Bill said...

I don't know that Utley will be cleared that soon after Amaro's comments today. He still has discomfort fielding. If that is the case he could be a while before he is jogging.

http://www.mtrphilly.com

GM-Carson said...

The Vagina Monologues return. Freakin' Hamels.

Preserve Jon said...

Piss. The. Bed.

As an armchair pitching coach, I would tell Hamels to bring his leg up a little higher and get on top of the ball when he throws. Everything was high. Get your leg kick up, and drive forward with your rear leg. His arm slot looked good courtesy of my 720i, he just needs to get on top of the ball.