Wednesday, November 05, 2008

The Peavy Effect

Yesterday, the San Diego Union-Tribune reported that the Padres see three teams - Braves, Cubs, Dodgers - as potential trade partners in their attempt to unload Jake Peavy. The Phillies aren't one of those teams (Peavy would not waive his no-trade clause, among other obstacles...) but a trade from the cellar-dwelling Padres to another NL team could have a substantial impact on the Phils 2009 campaign.

Cubs - The Cubs already have Carlos Zambrano, Rich Harden, Jason Marquis and Ted Lilly under contract and I wouldn't be surprised if they re-sign 17 game winner Ryan Dempster. If Cubs can trade for Jake Peavy, they would have the best rotation in the National League.

Dodgers - The Phillies NLCS victims are set to lose number one starter Derek Lowe and the consistently injured Brad Penny, but they will still have the not-ready-for-prime-time Chad Billingsley, Hiroki Kuroda and Clayton Kershaw. Even if the Dodgers can't sign offensive catalyst Manny Ramirez, but given the state of the NL West, they are still the favorites to repeat. The addition of Jake Peavy at the top of that rotation would make for quite a formidable playoff opponent.

Braves - Even with the addition of Peavy, the Braves don't have a enough to challenge for the NL East. They have enough young talent to be competitive but also enough old, fragile pitchers (Smoltz, Hudson, Hampton) to come up short in the end. However, having to face Peavy a few more times in a season could mean a few more losses and the difference between getting a Wild Card for teams like the Phils and Mets. But with all things considered, I would rather Peavy end up in the NL East with a struggler like the Braves instead of bolstering a true contender.
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Gold Gloves
A big WSBGM's congratulations goes out to Shane Victorino for winning his first Gold Glove and to Jimmy Rollins for claiming his second in two years. The Gold Glove is a totally bogus award (Derek Jeter has a couple of these things!), but it's nice that these two have something to show for the great defense they played this season. Also, they get trophies shaped like a glove, which is nice.
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Burrell Rumors
This if from Yahoo! Sports: "The Boston Globe reported Wednesday the San Francisco Giants may be interested in Burrell."

Is there a worse fit between player and stadium than Burrell and AT&T park. A huge left field that makes homers scarce and outfielders cover lots of ground does not seem optimal for Burrell.

Burrell's reps had this to say about negotiations with the Phillies, "The necessary designations have been filed with the players' association and I submitted a joint designation to Ruben." No word on whether Amaro smoked it...

Corey

23 comments:

GM-Carson said...

Peavy is under contract through 2011 I believe, so I'm not sure why the Padres are in a rush to trade him. I know they suck, but Peavy at least gives them some credibility. If he's traded I hope he goes AL.

The Braves stand to lose both Smoltz, Glavine, and Hampton, all free agents. Their rotation right now has a bum-armed Tim Hudson, Jair Jurrjens, Chuck James, Jo-Jo Reyes, Charlie Morton, and Jorge Campillo. Like Corey said- not ready to compete.

J-Roll and Vic deserve the Gold Glove, congrats!

Corey said...

smoltz is likely to sign with the braves and hampton said he would like to "repay the Braves for their loyalty by returning". so we'll see, i think the braves will be plenty old and fragile.

GM-Carson said...

MLBTR's Offseason Outlook for the Phillies.

GM-Carson said...

My guess is that Hampton is offered a bigger contract from Houston or somewhere else and skips town, but I agree Smoltz will likely return to Atlanta and pitch sometime next season once he's healed.

Kevin McGuire said...

The Gold Glove is a useless award; Bobby Abreu won one!

GM-Carson said...

I agree that the Gold Glove has been tarnished over the years due to players winning it that shouldn't, but in this case Rollins and Vic actually do deserve the recognition.

By the way, this J-Roll on the trading block rumor is stupid.

Andrew said...

Even if the award is silly, Utley was still snubbed

furiousBall said...

golden gloves are about as meaningful as the world's best grandpa coffee cup

Corey said...

in other award news, charlie manuel was presented with a "#1 Manager" foam-front hat...

must suck to be ryan braun today (as much as it could suck to be a millionaire professional athlete...), the dude doesn't make an error all year and gets no gold glove love. he should have given 110%...

GM-Carson said...

Oh, hell no, Corey broke out the impossible "110%" sports cliche. I hate that expression and it makes no sense, and is likely therefore why you used it. Not like we've been know to ever be sarcastic on here.

GM-Carson said...

The Phils control Ryan Madson through 2009, but don't expect his services to come cheap after that because he's represented by Scott Bora$ and he's comparing Madson to a young Mariano Rivera. You have got to be kidding me!

dr. steve said...

The Gold Glove is a bogus award because CHASE UTLEY DID NOT WIN ONE

I don't care who else plays second base, Chase Utley should have won one. There's no possible way he loses it. And he did!

GM-Carson said...

Just read this disheartening clip on the Phillies Hot Stove Blog on Phillies.com-
"Assuming Pat Burrell isn't retained, three right-handed-hitting names have popped on the Phillies' radar: Rocco Baldelli, Jerry Hairston Jr. and Kevin Mench. All have varying levels of versatility." Ugh!!!

*By the way, I love Chase Utley, but I honestly don't feel he deserved the Gold Glove at 2nd base.

Andrew said...

Three terrible options that can't even play a full season anyway. At best they're all platoons or pinch hitters.

I'm still sold on Raul Ibanez. Why isn't his name being thrown around? He seems like a perfect fit for CBP. 285 career AVG and 20 HR on avg per season. Plus, he's a good defender. Give him a 2 yr contract, since he's getting old, if Burrell doesn't sign.

JMS said...

MLB Trade Rumors has the Giants shopping Rowand to the likes of NYY or the Red Sox (they owe him $44 mil over the next few years) and going after Burrell.

Apparently he has said he doesn't want to DH (good) and although he is retaining his agent, he signed a second, Philly-area agent. That's why they haven't begun talks. I'm holding out hope that it means he's serious about staying, and it wasn't just an attempt to appease fans during the season.

They also say the Phils only owe Ruiz $425k. I can't think of anyone who earned a raise more than him, and I hope RA Jr. mans up to keep him.

ripjgarcia said...

Chase Utley does not deserve a gold glove. That is insane. Sure, Chase makes some great plays at times, but he also was amiss on a lot of routine stuff. Then again having to play out of position to make up for Howards atrocious range at first doesn't help much.

SirAlden said...

The Phillies are aggressively pursuing Matt Holliday, sources told SI.com's Jon Heyman.

Ruben make quick signings of Moyer and Eyre.

Rad said...

I think the Phillies getting Peavy would be a little unfair. Although matching Holliday with Ryan Howard would be along the new Manny and David Ortiz with Chase Hitley hitting 3rd, wow thats scary.

Bob D said...

Holliday may be out of the Phils price range in talent. If I remember correctly Victorino was a possible trade canidate back in Aug for Matt, as was Marson and others.

dr. steve said...

Lou Marson is the only possible piece to use to get Holliday unless they have some useless talent in their minor leagues.

I'd rather not trade him as I'm not sold on Ruiz. I've never wanted to trade Victorino, and I hate trading pitching.

But it seems like what the Phillies have plenty of in the minors is pitching. So I'd be most willing to part with that.

But just give them MONEY Phillies. Don't lose prospects if you don't have to.

Aaron said...

How about Kendrick, Golson and some other minor leaguer for Holliday.
My personal feeling is that Golson sucks. He is a strike out machine.
I might even being willing to part with Happ.

But if Marson, Victorino or Carassco are in the deal that's a mistake.

I love Pat the Bat but Holliday would be a huge upgrade mostly because he is a 300 hitter.

GM-Carson said...

I too have read the Holliday rumors and many people around baseball think the Phils are the frontrunners to land his services, but it will not be for as little as Kendrick, Golson, and another minor leaguer, it will require some of our young studs like Happ, Marson, Donald, Carassco, and/or Bastardo. For a 1 year rental that's not worth it in my mind.

NE Phillies Phan said...

Utley was the best 2B in the Majors both offensively and defensively. 15 years from now he'll have a nice plaque in a certain Hall in upstate NY for his efforts...far better reward than silly metal glove statue.