Monday, March 31, 2008

Opening Day 2008


We've been waiting for this day since the 3 game flame-out last October...and it will be over before many of us get home from work. The challenge for many phans today: avoid the internet or sports radio until the game can be watched on DVR this evening. Good luck to all.

As for the game: Brett Myers vs. Matt Chico. The last time Chico took the mound, Sept 29 2007, he threw 6 innings, gave up only one earned run and beat the Phillies. Lightening can't strike twice. And I'm expecting a letdown after the excitement of opening up their new ballpark last night against the Braves. Predictions:
Corey - Phils big, 9-3.
Carson - Phils barely, 6-5.
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Last week, we predicted the 2008 stats for the Phils main players. Today, we go beyond the numbers and lay out our final predictions and expectations for the 2008 Phillies.

Corey
DL Leader (Player) - Shane Victorino. He'll be out of right field, so he should be able to avoid bullpen mounds, but many steal attempts, a new position with a centerfield wall that has already claimed one Phillie outfielder, and injuries last year make me think he's due for some DL time. Runner-up: Geoff Jenkins (Brett Favre never missed a start, but he ain't no Favre.)

DL Leader (Pitcher) - Tom Gordon. Mathieson and Zagurski don't count and even though Lidge is starting on the DL, I don't think he'll be able to match the total days Gordon will accumulate. Gordon will also lead in "Days Not Available" due to minor injury/fatigue/etc. These days are also known as "Billy Wagner Days."

Day I'll Want Manuel Fired - Friday, April 11. The Phils finish up a 3 game series with the Muts on the 10th. If it goes bad and the Phils haven't taken care of Washington and Cincy in the first two sets, it could get ugly around here.

WSBGM Posts About How Bad The Bullpen Is - It will get mentioned almost daily, but posts with that as the primary focus will hopefully be limited to fifty or sixty...

Day I'll Give Up On Pat Burrell - Never! Not this year....or maybe June 25th at Oakland, when Burrell's slump is so bad Maneul puts Jayson Werth in LF and Eric Bruntlett as the DH.

Day Carson Dramatically Declares The Season A Failure And We Have To Talk Him Off The Bridge - Probably tomorrow.

Carson
Record - 82-80, and a 3rd place finish in the NL East behind the Mets and Braves. I know that's going to make me unpopular, but that's what I'm forecasting. This pitching staff is quite possibly worse than last year with less depth leading to more blown games that even our league-leading offense can't continually bail us out of. *Note- during Manuel's tenure the Phils have a 31-42 record in his 3 Aprils, and I foresee yet another losing one this year.

Day I'll Want Manuel Fired - 3 seasons ago.

Most Hated Phillie - Adam Eaton will defend his title from last season (although, he narrowly beat out Rod Barajas). Contenders to battle Eaton for most hate cast their way: Tom Gordon and the revolving door of the last spot in the bullpen.

Song For The Year - Pennywise's Fight Til You Die: Go ahead and try, Or kiss your ass goodbye. People of society are running for their lives. Get up now and go, Or you're never gonna know. Never gonna make it in your houses lying low. Give it one good try, Give it all and fight till you die!

WSBGM Posts About How Disgusted We Are With Gillick - Once again, it will get mentioned nearly daily, as it goes hand-in-hand with Adam Eaton and the atrocious bullpen, but I'm hoping to only mention it days after losses, so around 80.

Day I Give Up On The Season - Despite my apocalyptic prophecy of only 82 wins, I will not discount what this team is capable of. I love the Phillies, and I'm fully prepared to eat my words and embrace yet another playoff drive. I'm going to sit back and enjoy the highs and get pissed and rant about the lows, but no giving up the season this year; I'm going to stick it out.

*Post your prediction for the Phillies 2008 record in the comments section, and tune in come game time to cheer on our boys here at WSBGM's.

*A handful of phloggers joined forces for a roundtable discussion, I managed to wiggle myself into this exclusive set of higher minds.

44 comments:

Bob D said...

DL leader: Werth (always seems to land there) pitcher:Eaton (figures it is safer not to show up at all)
Day to fire Manuel/Gillick: May 1st after another ugly April.
Post about an ugly bullpen: 60, 50 during the 1st half prior to Matheison returning and replacing Gordon as setup man with 96MPH fastball.
Carson suicide watch: 2nd week of April til mid May
Most hated Phillie: Eaton will defend his title hands down, Gordon takes 2nd place.
Record:92-50, after a 500 record near midseason the team will turn it on as Matheison and Benson are added to the team to replace Eaton and Gordon.
WSBGMS tailgate party: early October as bloodstripes hijacks a plane to see the Phils in a playoff game. Jacobin fails to prosecute him and shreds all paperwork so he will be released to join the party.

LONG DRIVE: A PHILLIES BLOG said...

good god 82 wins? come on carson have some faith. i get to sit in the pouring rain in right field today. there is no way we lose this game though. if we do lose i'm blaming it on the fact that manuel today announced that they wont skip eaton's turn in the rotation considering the off day tomorrow.

GreggyD said...

I am in the same ballpark as Carson as I think the Phils will put together 85 wins. The pitching staff is atrocious and just won't keep them in games as much as we might like to think they can. I don't have much hope for today either. I've been at the past two openers and have seen two thrashings, one by St. Louis in which Pujols homered twice and Scotty Rolen hit a grand slam and last year when the Braves took it to us. I have a meeting until 3:30 or so, but then I should be able to get back to see the game, minus the first couple of innings. Then again, it could be rained out for all we know and we can put the start of the pain off for a day.

GM-Carson said...

I knew my 82 win forecast would be unpopular, but that's my gut feeling.

I heard it's only showers for today's game, hopefully no downpours.

furiousBall said...

I just am thankful that Charlie wore a shirt and we didn't have an old man wet t-shirt contest on our hands

Jacobin said...

J-Roll says we're going to win 100, so I'll go with that (even if I can't rationalize it or come up with a good reason why this club will win 100 games). But, hell, if the reigning MVP who's mouth said the Phillies were the team to beat last year tells me they're going to win 100 games... then I'm going to go with that until it happens or becomes a mathematical impossibility!

Bob, what you're suggesting sounds like prosecutorial misconduct... I think it would be more likely that in exercising prosecutorial discretion the case would prove to be "weak" in some areas and would allow for the defendant to enter a guilty plea on a summary charge of disorderly conduct. $50 fine + court costs and no permanent record.

Corey said...

Todd Zolecki at Phillies Zone posted today's starting lineup:

1. Jimmy Rollins, SS
2. Shane Victorino, CF
3. Chase Utley, 2B
4. Ryan Howard, 1B
5. Pat Burrell, LF
6. Pedro Feliz, 3B
7. Jayson Werth, RF
8. Carlos Ruiz, C
9. Brett Myers, P

no surprises. seeing that platoon in RF makes me smile, though...

updated prediction - burrell goes deep today.

GM-Carson said...

Charlies is starting off the season the right foot, by right I mean correct. He was leaning towards starting Jenkins for the Opener just because Jenkins is technically the "starter", but he went with the odds and played what the platoon is all about- righty (Werth) lefty (Chico) matchup.

GM-Carson said...

1-2-3 inning from Myers to start the season, oh yeah baby!!!

GM-Carson said...

MVP-MVP-MVP...Jimmy Rollins leads off the season with a double.

Jacobin said...

Ha! Now this year's MVP needs to drive last year's MVP home!

GM-Carson said...

Nice sac fly by Utley. After 1, Phils up 1-nuttin'...nice!!!

GM-Carson said...

Dickbag Duca just got booed hardcore, love it, hate him.

Jacobin said...

Paul Lo Duca... I'm not sure if I want to see him beaned or struck out.

Jacobin said...

Wooo! Listen to the cheering for Lo Duca getting whacked on the hand!

GM-Carson said...

Myers beaned him, that's f'n awesome!

Jacobin said...

Okay, enough of this shit. Let's get out of the inning. Please tell me you can get the pitcher out.

Corey said...

i'm guessing this will be a common site on my mlb gameday watching this year:

1. Pat Burrell walks.
2. Pedro Feliz grounds into double play.

Jacobin said...

Is that a left-side two-for?

furiousBall said...

J-Roll is on pace for a 162 game hit streak

Jacobin said...

162 game streak? No way, 173 game hitting streak! That counts regular season and the 11 post-season games we sweep this year :)

Jacobin said...

Is it too early to start worrying about the possibility of Tom Gordon coming in to save a 1-0 game?

GM-Carson said...

Pedro Feliz doing what is expected of his so far- grounding into a double play and then turning a beautiful play on defense. The man is an out machine!

furiousBall said...

also, by the same token, Jim Thome is now on pace to hit 324 HRs this year

Jacobin said...

C'mon! Three run bomb from "The Bat!"

GM-Carson said...

C'mon- you're my boy Burrell, you're my boy!!!

Jacobin said...

Okay, it might not have been a home run, but I'll take the RBI single.

GM-Carson said...

Feliz continues his out making ways, 2 men on with no outs and he k's looking.

GM-Carson said...

Shit, bases loaded with only 1 out and the gNats big men coming up. All started with a hit from the friggin' pitcher...I hate that.

Jacobin said...

Ugh, bases loaded. Let's turn two!

Anyway, have fun guys. I'll be listening on the radio until I get to the dentist's office. I am praying the rest of the game will be better than my afternoon in the chair.

GM-Carson said...

Have fun getting drilled Jacobin, Myers has now drilled two former Mets this afternoon.

GM-Carson said...

Fuck!!! Dammit Myers! Phils now losing. Myers looks like shit today, keeps missing his spots. His pitch count is very high right now through 5, I fear the 'pen.

GM-Carson said...

Now J-Roll is sucking too, error leading to another run. Game getting ugly in a hurry.

GM-Carson said...

6-6 time game now, J-Roll just went deep. He's awesome!

Jacobin said...

Shortest dentist drilling I've ever endured... got a filling fixed, and made it to the car in time to hear the Phillies tie it up!

MVP! MVP! MVP!

GM-Carson said...

Gordon, bye-bye tie game...

GM-Carson said...

there ya go, gordon sucks yet again.

GM-Carson said...

Ruiz just sent another run in with a needless throwing error to 3rd. Oh wait, 9-6 now, the Gordon hit parade isn't over yet.

Jacobin said...

Flush (as in the toilet) Gordon comes through like many of expected him to do! Gah, this makes me gag harder than a ballerina ticking her tonsils with a toothbrush.

GM-Carson said...

That was disgusting, and unfortunately is what I think you can expect a lot of this season- complete shit from the pitching.

Jacobin said...

Let me put it in an even more miserable perspective. The Nationals played last night and had to travel to Philadelphia for a day game following that. Not to mention, they had their number two starter going against our opening day "ace."

Is Urbina still in prison?

SirAlden said...

92 - 69 the rest of the way. Chin up!

kentucky phils phan said...

well, dang.

GM-Carson said...

1 loss down, 79 to go.