At the beginning of the year, as we did last year, Carson and I will make predictions on the upcoming season, including the records of the Phillies and Pirates and stats for individual players. Some guys we'll predict to have good years, some to have bad years. They are merely predictions, based on nothing but instinct and feeling. They should not be confused with projections. Projections, with no offense meant to Charlie Manuel, are retarded. I'm sure the people who do these projections (like ZIPS, Chone, etc.) are very smart, but they aren't Miss Cleao. They aren't part of Dion Warwick's Psychic Friends Network. They are just a bunch of losers who live in their parents' basement and have big computers. And their computer stat projections add about as much to the baseball world as a pile of dog crap on Ed Wade's lawn. All they do is project stats based on previous preformance. Basically, they publish a load of projections where good players have good year, average players have average years, and bad players have Nunez-esque years. Wow. Thanks for the knowledge, skippy. Take the ZIPS Phillies projections as an example.
Pat Burrell - .262-28-105 - did we need a computer to tell us this? Lots of K's. Low average. 30 jacks. 100 RBI's.
Rowand & Victorino - .274/.275-12/11-52/59 - what? average outfield stats for average outfielders? Groundbreaking stuff, ZIPS.
Fabio Castro - 3-3 4.92 - this is just stupid. No way Manuel will put Castro in enough games to get 6 decisions....
They also predicted Ryan Howard will hit lots of homeruns, Jimmy Rollins will have a low OBP and the pitching staff will have loads of guys with ERA's over 4.00. Again, thanks for the info.
You can look at these projected stats for days, but in the end, all they tell you is what you probably already knew. Good teams are likely to be good, and bad teams are likely to be bad, and the Phillies are likely to finish a few games out of the Wild Card. Real baseball is not Strat-O-Matic baseball. Computers can't tell you everything. Please don't waste your time examining these projections.