Friday, September 15, 2017

The Phillies have been really bad in one-run games

Are you ready for a bonkers bit of history?

The Philadelphia Phillies have played 55 one-run games. If they don't play any more, that means more than 33 percent of their games have been of the one run variety. Overall, the team has a .390 winning percentage, but a .364 mark in one-run games. Compare this with the last season and back.

Year    One-run games  Record in one-run games
2016                53                     .549
2015                43                     .372
2014                55                     .509
2013                56                     .500
2012                52                     .481
2011                47                     .596
2010                46                     .630
2009                45                     .533
2008                50                     .540
2007                37                     .378
2006                45                     .489
2005                44                     .477
2004                43                     .535
2003                38                     .526
2002                46                     .478
2001               49                      .551
2000               60                      .417
1999               44                      .468
1998               57                      .509
1997              43                       .535
1996              47                       .532
1995              43                       .465
1994              38                       .316
1993              43                       .535
1992              52                       .404
1991             63                        .571
1990             54                        .519
1989              43                       .465
1988              46                       .435
1987              48                       .563
1986              59                       .576
1985             58                        .397
1984             54                        .463
1983             46                        .500
1982             51                        .588
1981             33                        .455
1980              60                       .533
1979              52                       .596
1978              47                       .532
1977              45                       .489
1976             50                        .520

So, in the Phillies championship era, the 42 years that have seen all of the franchise's World Series and five of its seven pennants, the Phillies have rarely been this bad at one-run games.
Just once, the strike season of 1994, did the Phillies play with a worse record, .316, in their one-run games.

They've also rarely played more one-run games. Only in 1991 (63), 1980 and 2000 (60), 1986 (59) 1985 (58) and 2013 (56), did they play in more.

On a side note, if you're like me and remember how bad the 1996-1998 Phillies were, it's shocking to see that they played over .500 in 143 combined one-run games.

The Rhys Hoskins Post

I've watched baseball my entire life (soon to be 38 years). This is the most amazing thing I've ever witnessed. What Rhys Hoskins has done to begin his career is literally history in the making. This is an open blog post to drop adoration for "Rhys Lightning" in the comments sections. Have at it WSBGMs readers...

Tuesday, September 05, 2017

Happy J.P. Crawford Day


via GIPHY
Look, J.P. Crawford had some early season struggles. There's no doubt about it. But even with those struggles, he has a .351 on-base percentage and .405 slugging mark. He still hit 15 home runs, 20 doubles and six triples.

Crawford might not light the world on fire like Rhys Hoskins has during his September call-up. But he's going to make the offense better. He's going to force the opposition to throw pitches, something the lineup has lacked for quite a long time.

Crawford won't push the Phillies toward 70 wins. But he could be the difference between 100 losses and 97 losses, either of which probably get you the top 1 or 2 spots in next years draft.


via GIPHY


Thursday, August 31, 2017

September Call Ups

The Phillies will announce their September call-ups momentarily. This is what I would do if I were in General Manager Matt Klentak's situation.

The locks

J.P. Crawford: If I'm Klentak, I call up Crawford and tell Pete he plays at short every day.
For some reason, Phillies fans and some of the local media have fallen in love with Freddy Galvis. Look, he's having the best year of his career and he's still not very valuable. Defensively, he makes highlight reel plays, but i'ts not enough to make up for the bad offense. He's dropped off from last year, when he was plus-5 in defensive runs saved and had a UZR of 15.1. This year, he's at -4 runs save and a 3.9 UZR, which isn't terrible at all. It's basically top 5 in the league.
Fangraphs gives him a 1.4 WAR; Baseball-Reference has him with 1.0 WAR.

It wouldn't shock me if Crawford topped those WAR numbers in a month.

Drew Anderson: The 23-year-old is already on the 40-man roster and has pitched well in Double-A. The Phillies think they have a nice piece in him. He can provide some depth for the staff during the final month of the season.

The possible

Carlos Tocci: The Phillies will need to add him to the 40-man roster this offseason, so they might as well do it now. Let him get a couple of starts in center field to see how he handles it. The 21-year-old has hit .298/.349/.387 and is still filling out. The only thing that would keep him down for me is that it might be wasting an option.

Alberto Tirado: The kid was once a top 100 prospect. He's got quite an arm. He didn't particularly pitch that well this year, but the team is going to want to see what it has as it tries to figure out the 40-man roster this season. Seeing him work against big league batters a few times could be valuable for the franchise as it weighs his value against some other minor leaguers.

Out of luck

Scott Kingery: I cannot tell you how much I want to see Kingery in the Big Leagues. Scotty Jetpacks is going to be a force. But like Crawford, he's not on the 40-man roster. The Phillies well need to conserve some spots this winter as they work their way through the Rule 5 Draft. They're going to have to protect a fair amount of talent. So we'll see him in 2018. 

Sunday, August 27, 2017

Hoskins with the Howard

Rhys Hoskins is the fastest player to hit 11 homeruns to begin his career. Blah, blah, blah.

Rhys Hoskins has 24 RBI in his first 18 games. Yada, yada, yada.

Rhys Hoskins started a triple play today. So fricken what?!

Rhys Hoskins committed the first Howard in the embryonic stage of his MLB life cycle. Now that's something to beat on your chest King Kong style about.
In case you haven't been following this historic statistic since it's inception prior to the 2009 season, The Howard is anytime a player hits a homerun, commits and error, and strikes out in the same ball game.

Congrats kid, you deserve all the recognition and praise being heaped upon you.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Ain't No Sugarcoating This Turd

The Philadelphia Phillies are terrible. That's fact, not up for debate. The 2017 season was supposed to be one of growth, yet clearly hasn't been the case.
All the ballyhooed pitching prospects have been duds thus far, for the most part.

Jake Thompson...turd.

Nick Pivetta...turd.

Zach Eflin...turd.

Vince Velasquez...turd.

Edubray Ramos...turd.

Ricardo Pinto...turd.

Mark Appel...turd.

Oh, lest not forget Jerad Eickhoff, who has taken a big step backwards. Oh, and Hector Neris' woes late in games. Oh, and the shit-show Joely Rodriguez displayed before his exodus. Jessen Therrien isn't making a good impression either.

Now onto the offense.

Maikel Franco...ginormous turd.

Tommy Joseph...turd.

Cam Perkins and Brock Stassi haven't done anything to help their stock either.

I'm disgusted.

Tuesday, August 15, 2017

How are the Phillies position players doing?

Let's take a look in on the Phillies positional players ranks among their MLB counterparts.

*Minimum plate appearance - 250

Cameron Rupp/Catcher - .730 OPS (17th/26) & 1.2 WAR (17th/26)

Tommy Joseph/First Base - .726 OPS (29th/31) & -0.7 WAR (30th/31)

Cesar Hernandez/Second Base - .792 (12th/34) & 2.5 WAR (7th/34)

Freddy Galvis/Shortstop - .717 OPS (18th/30) & 1.5 WAR (15th/30)

Maikel Franco/Third Base - .668 OPS (28th/29) & -1.0 WAR (29th/29)

Odubel Herrera/Center Field - .799 OPS (12th/35) & 2.6 WAR (7th/35)

Aaron Altherr/Right Field - .894 OPS (5th/31) & 1.7 WAR (15th/31)

First and third base are positions that a team should expect big OPS from, not the piddling numbers the Phillies have received. Franco and Joseph are poor in every facet of the game - defense, offense, and running. However, both are still young and were once highly touted prospects. What to do? I am in favor to moving Freddy Galvis to 3rd base and letting JP Crawford get his feet wet. Maybe Franco losing his starting gig will force him to do something about it. I'm also in favor of trading Joseph this offseaon and giving Rhys Hoskins the first base job. Both Scott Kingery (second base) and Crawford (shortstop) seem ready for promotion. Perhaps Hernandez could handle 3rd next season and Galvis could rotate around the diamond like a supersub. We already know he can handle the infield and the outfield shouldn't be a stretch for him given his athleticism. Just trade Franco for something...relief help?
Imagine this in 2018:
1. Cesar Hernandez/3B
2. Odubel Herrera/CF
3. Aaron Altherr/RF
4. Nick Williams/LF
5. Rhys Hoskins/1B
6. Scott Kingery/2B
7. JP Crawford/SS
8. Rupp/Knapp/Alfaro/C

Then Galvis gets a start a week at 2nd, SS, 3rd, LF, and RF. That's a team with better defense, offense, and speed, not to mention more rested regulars due to Galvis' versatility. Cam Perkins could serve as outfield reserve and Brock Stassi bench bat. Honestly think that could be a team to get excited about.

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

The Disappointment Known As Maikel Franco & Other Stuff

Maikel Franco is by far the worst everyday 3rd baseman in baseball and his WAR (-0.7) ranks 157 out 164 qualified batters in MLB. His hips fly open when he swings, leading his upper body to open up and pull everything, so much so, that it knocks the damn helmet off his head. He disgusts me. Over-hyped bust. Although still a mere 24 years old, I'd be ready to wash my hands of him, if only the Phillies had someone capable of playing third base ready in the minors. Of course, they could call-up JP Crawford and let Freddy Galvis play 3rd. Or perhaps Cesar Hernandez or Scott Kingery have the arm to handle the hot corner. All I know is that I hate watching Franco bat and the results justify my revulsion.

Austin Listi, drafted in the 17th round this June, has moved up to Single-A Lakewood already. In 24 games he's batting .310/.938 with 19 R, 6 DBL, 5 HR, 19 RBI, and 3 SB. He's manned 1st base and both left and right field thus far.

Aaron Nola looks like the ace we'd all hope he'd become when he was drafted in the 1st round back in 2014. Watching his fastball dart all over the strikezone with its late life is a thing of beauty. One of the few bright spots this season for the Phillies.

Jhailyn Ortiz, he of the tender age of 18, is mashing the ball in Williamsport. He did alright as a 17 year old outfielder in the Gulf Coast League last summer, but he's made significant strides to improve himself this season, and he's now batting .306/1.026 in 32 games with 22 R, 9 DBL, 7 HR, 25 RBI, and 3 SB.

The Phillies signed a lefty out of Russia that goes by the name of Anton Kuznetsov (extremely Russian) and he's killing it in his debut in the USA. Over 8 appearances for the Gulf Coast League Phillies, he's pitched 14.1 innings, striking out 16, allowed only 6 base runners and nary a run. Mother Russia!

Quincy Nieporte, a 26th round pick this June, is impressing in the Gulf Coast as well. The first baseman has hit .343/1.092 with 14 R, 9 DBL, 4 HR, and 14 RBI over 18 games. He also likes to celebrate by shotgunning a beer after hits.



He could also challenge Odubel Herrera in a bat flipping contest.